Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.476150 0.528483 0.584897 0.650348 0.724340 0.805557 0.901680
2025-04-13 0.377087 0.445733 0.525264 0.624686 0.746303 0.891051 1.077603
2025-04-20 0.334288 0.412122 0.506785 0.631333 0.792281 0.995140 1.273178
2025-04-27 0.303738 0.387338 0.493083 0.638158 0.834353 1.093825 1.468589
2025-05-04 0.279353 0.366614 0.480747 0.643079 0.871479 1.186610 1.663539
2025-05-11 0.258338 0.347638 0.467920 0.644544 0.901996 1.271037 1.853883
2025-05-18 0.242687 0.334140 0.460685 0.652070 0.940386 1.368782 2.073359
2025-05-25 0.222725 0.312684 0.440053 0.637631 0.943893 1.413444 2.213798
2025-06-01 0.212047 0.303546 0.436119 0.647104 0.983780 1.516822 2.459612
2025-06-08 0.198848 0.289569 0.423719 0.642124 0.999800 1.582718 2.648947
2025-06-15 0.189570 0.280718 0.418213 0.647143 1.031832 1.677162 2.898186
2025-06-22 0.177887 0.267306 0.404578 0.637706 1.038506 1.728463 3.074364
2025-06-29 0.168165 0.256493 0.394534 0.633772 1.054883 1.799501 3.299102
2025-07-06 0.154842 0.239127 0.372832 0.608542 1.031780 1.797403 3.381989
2025-07-13 0.149029 0.233493 0.369830 0.615014 1.065673 1.903130 3.693643
2025-07-20 0.143713 0.228297 0.367124 0.621635 1.100169 2.013108 4.028499
2025-07-27 0.138476 0.222876 0.363615 0.626410 1.131392 2.119547 4.370006
2025-08-03 0.133061 0.216806 0.358545 0.627831 1.156081 2.215102 4.700291
2025-08-10 0.128987 0.212782 0.356755 0.635134 1.192834 2.339002 5.113257
2025-08-17 0.121900 0.203086 0.344265 0.621124 1.185284 2.368329 5.305219
2025-08-24 0.118755 0.200182 0.343826 0.630316 1.226140 2.506370 5.783847
2025-08-31 0.113809 0.193769 0.336557 0.625483 1.237003 2.578872 6.107367
2025-09-07 0.110513 0.190161 0.334254 0.630354 1.268957 2.702387 6.582848